Chainalysis

Blockchain analytics platform that traces cryptocurrency flows to detect illicit activity, provide compliance tools, and support law enforcement investigations. Series F at $8.6B (May 2022, GIC Singapore); ARR ~$250M with 70+ government agencies including the US DOJ, FBI, IRS-CI, and Europol as customers. Instrumental in recovering $3.6B in Bitcoin stolen in the Bitfinex hack.

Crypto🇺🇸 United StatesFounded 2014ISO/NSO equitychainalysis.com ↗

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Reviewed May 24, 2026 (2d ago)

Current estimate

4 methods · May 24, 2026Medium confidence (40%)

$8.5B

range $7.3B – $9.8B⚠ methods disagree (3.4× spread)

Implied per-share: $37.1 · vs last primary -1%

This estimate reflects what informed investors are paying on secondary markets like Hiive and Forge — not the 409A valuation on your grant letter.

Last primary round

$8.6B

Series F · 48mo ago

Secondary signal

$8.7B

Hiive · 2026-04+2%

Sourced from Forge/Hiive public data. Full order books require a paid subscription; figures shown are best-effort from public disclosures.

Headcount

900

employees · LinkedIn-10%

LinkedIn count — directional proxy only. Historical figure sourced via Wayback Machine; treat ±15% as normal variance.

Revenue (est.)

$250M

annual run rate · est.

Complete company data

Every input we use, where we got it from, and how much we trust it.

Field	Value	Source	Confidence
Company fundamentals
Sector	Crypto	Editorial classification	high
Headquarters	🇺🇸 United States	Company website · Crunchbase	high
Founded	2014	Company website · Wikipedia	high
Website	chainalysis.com	Direct	high
Latest primary round
Post-money valuation	$8.6B	TechCrunch May 2022	high
Round name	Series F	TechCrunch May 2022	high
Date	2022-05-12 (48 months ago)	TechCrunch May 2022	high
Lead investor	GIC Singapore	TechCrunch May 2022	high
Amount raised	$170M	TechCrunch May 2022	medium
Capitalization
Total fully-diluted shares	230M	SEC Form D · secondary price math · cap-table leaks › notes Public total fully-diluted share count: estimated from SEC Form D filings, secondary-market pricing math (implied valuation ÷ price per share), and leaked cap-table summaries. Considered the lowest-confidence input.	low
Implied share price (latest primary)	$37	Valuation × 1000 / share count (= $8.6B ÷ 230M)	medium
Primary equity type granted	ISO/NSO	Public reports of company equity practices	high
Financials
Annual revenue (est.)	$250M	Sacra · The Information · press leaks › notes Annual revenue: best public estimates from Sacra, The Information, WSJ leaks, or company-stated ARR. Where official, we cite the source on the funding round.	medium
EV / Revenue (implied)	34.4x	Computed from valuation ÷ revenue	medium
Headcount
Employees (now)	900	LinkedIn — current company page count › notes Headcount: LinkedIn 'Company' page employee count, taken now and approximately 12 months ago via the Wayback Machine. Treat as a directional proxy for revenue growth, not a hard number.	medium
Employees (12 months ago)	1,000	LinkedIn via Wayback Machine	medium
12-month headcount growth	-10%	Computed	medium
Methodology inputs
Sector ETF proxy	BLOK	Editorial choice — most representative public ETF › notes Sector ETF: editorial choice of the most representative public-market proxy. Annual return: 3-year trailing average from Yahoo Finance, refreshed quarterly.	medium
ETF annual return (trailing 3-yr)	34%	Yahoo Finance · refreshed quarterly	medium

Funding history

Primary rounds reported in Bloomberg, WSJ, TechCrunch, Reuters, or SEC Form D filings (efts.sec.gov). Linked per round below.

Valuation progression (equity rounds)

Valuation progression · equity rounds

$8.6Blatest · Series F

Total growth

172×

Primary round

Down round

Series F+105%2022-05-12

$8.6B

Led by GIC Singapore · raised $170M

Source: TechCrunch May 2022

Series E+110%2021-06-10

$4.2B

Led by Addition · raised $100M

Source: TechCrunch Jun 2021

Series D+100%2021-03-26

$2.0B

Led by Paradigm · raised $100M

Source: TechCrunch Mar 2021

Series C+400%2020-06-01

$1.0B

Led by Benchmark · raised $49M

Source: TechCrunch Jun 2020

Series B+300%2019-07-02

$0.2B

Led by Benchmark · raised $30M

Source: TechCrunch Jul 2019

Series A2018-01-01

$0.1B

Led by Benchmark · raised $16M

Source: Crunchbase

Secondary market signals

Secondary market signals: bid/ask/trade indications from Hiive (hiive.com), Forge Global, Caplight Index, and tender prices reported in the press.

Implied valuation over time

Implied valuation · secondary market

$8.7B+37% vs first recorded

Trade

Bid

⚠

Forge and Hiive publish aggregated market data publicly, but full order books, individual bids/asks, and confirmed trade prices require a paid account. The figures below are sourced from their public summaries, press-reported tender prices, and SEC disclosures. They represent the best publicly available signal — not a guaranteed executable price.

Date	Type	Source	Price / share	Implied valuation
2026-04-05	trade	Hiive	$38	$8.7B
2025-10-20	bid	Hiive	$32	$7.4B
2025-05-08	trade	Forge	$28	$6.4B

View live indications: Hiive ↗ · SEC Form D filings ↗

Public peer comparables

Public peer comparables: editorial selection of public companies with the closest business model. EV/Revenue and growth from public 10-Q filings and Bloomberg, refreshed quarterly.

Ticker	Company	EV / Revenue	Revenue growth	As of
COIN	Coinbase Global, Inc.	7.75x	+-31%	2026-05-24
HOOD	Robinhood Markets, Inc.	14.38x	+15%	2026-05-24
MSTR	Strategy Inc	114.46x	+12%	2026-05-24

Confidence breakdown

How much we trust each of the four valuation methods for this specific company, and why.

Method A — Peer-multiple

weight 25%→ $8.5B66% confidence

Growth-weighted peer EV/Revenue: 45.5x → 25% private-company discount → 34.1x on $250M revenue

Method B — Secondary-implied

weight 45%→ $8.2B55% confidence

Recency-weighted average of 3 secondary indications (180-day decay)

Method C — Primary time-decay

weight 20%→ $11.4B20% confidence

↳ Effectively excluded from the blend — this method is structurally unreliable for this company.

$8.6B round (2022-05-12) × 2.09× growth × 0.85× multiple decay over 4.0 years — capped at 1.3× recent secondary ($8.7B → $11.4B)

Method D — Sector momentum

weight 10%→ $28.0B10% confidence

↳ Effectively excluded from the blend — this method is structurally unreliable for this company.

$8.6B × (1 + 34% p.j.)^4.0yr = $28.0B via BLOK ETF-proxy

Overall confidence

40%

Weighted average of the four methods. Above 65% is high, 40–65% medium, below 40% low.

Medium

Worked example for an employee

A concrete walk-through using a hypothetical employee profile. Same engine the calculator uses — try it with your real numbers.

Profile: a hypothetical employee who joined Chainalysis 24 months ago (2024-05-26) with 2,000 options, on the standard 4-year vesting schedule with a 1-year cliff.

Vesting

1,000 of 2,000

50% vested at month 24

Implied share price (mid)

$37

weighted average of 4 methods

Gross vested value

$37,136

vested shares × implied price

Net value

$37,136

no strike, gross = net

Tax (rough)

$4,224

US federal only · AMT risk: low

What if the next round is…

Up round +30%

$41,980

New round at +30% valuation, 15% new shares issued

Down round −30%

$21,663

New round at −30% valuation, 20% new shares (higher dilution in distress)

Secondary today

$31,566

Sale on the secondary market at the typical 15% discount to the mid estimate

These numbers come from the same engine as the live calculator. Walk through with your own grant: use your real numbers →

Transparent assumptions

What we assumed where exact data isn't available. If any of these don't match your situation, the numbers above will be off.

Fully-diluted share count

230M shares

We don't have authoritative cap-table access for private companies. The number above is reconstructed from SEC Form D filings, secondary-market price-vs-valuation math, and leaked share-class summaries. Actual fully-diluted count (including unvested option pool and SAFEs) may differ by 5–15%.

Common-stock waterfall

1.0× to common

We assume a clean common-stock outcome — i.e. preferred-share liquidation preferences and ratchets do not extract value before common. In a down-exit, this assumption can be very wrong: preferred stack can take 30–70% of proceeds.

Private-company illiquidity discount

25% off public peers

Applied to Method A (peer-multiple). Per-company because category leaders with deep secondary markets and a clear IPO path warrant a smaller discount than early-stage names. The literature range is 10–35%; for Chainalysis we use 25% based on secondary-market depth, valuation history, and proximity to liquidity.

Revenue growth assumption (Method C)

20% YoY

Compounded forward from the last primary date to today to estimate the company's value drift. Set per-company based on disclosed or reported ARR trajectory. Method C is further capped at 1.3× the most recent secondary trade (if any) to stop runaway extrapolation when revenue growth outpaces what the market is actually paying.

Sector ETF momentum (Method D)

BLOK @ 34%/year

Method D applies the trailing return of BLOK as a market-proxy adjustment to the primary valuation. Crude — meant as a tiebreaker when peer and secondary data conflict, not as a primary signal.

Outlier auto-downweight

Methods >50% from median get ½ weight

Robust-statistics safety net: any method whose output strays more than 50% from the median of the other three methods has its confidence weight halved when computing the blended mid-point. Prevents a single bad extrapolation from dragging the headline.

Recency decay for secondary trades

180-day half-life (e⁻ᵈ/¹⁸⁰)

A trade from 30 days ago counts ~5× more than one from 180 days ago. Tunable; some platforms use shorter half-lives.

Tax estimate

US federal only, single filer

Uses 2024 US federal brackets, ignoring state tax, NIIT, AMT credit recovery, and any other deductions. Treat as a directional sanity check, not a tax bill.

All data from public sources. Not investment, tax, or legal advice. Not affiliated with Chainalysis. Last refreshed manually — see methodology for our update cadence.