Cognition AI vs Scale AI: employee equity compared
Secondary market prices, valuation trajectory, equity structure, and liquidity outlook for employees choosing between Cognition AI and Scale AI.
Cognition AI
Creator of Devin, the first fully autonomous AI software engineer.
IPO plausible 2027–2029 if growth trajectory holds. Secondary indication near primary round valuation. Liquidity may come via tender offer or strategic acquisition before listing.
High-growth AI play; ISO/NSO options; fast-moving valuations reward timing
Scale AI
Data-labeling and AI infrastructure platform. Meta acquired a 49% stake at $29B implied valuation (Jun 2025). Secondary trades at ~50% discount reflecting client departures (Google, OpenAI, xAI) post-deal.
IPO uncertain. Meta's 49% stake limits independence; Founder Alexandr Wang moved to Meta as Chief AI Officer. Liquidity most likely via further Meta acquisition or tender offer.
Deep US government/defense contracts; ISO/NSO options; secondary at steep discount to primary — timing matters
Key differences for employees
Equity structure
Cognition AI grants ISO/NSO with strike prices ranging from $10–$20 depending on your grant year. Scale AI grants ISO/NSO with strike prices from $35–$50.
Secondary market signal
Cognition AI has no recent verified secondary signal — only the primary round ($14B) is shown. Scale AI has no recent verified secondary signal. A higher secondary premium typically signals stronger investor demand and potentially better near-term liquidity for employees looking to sell.
Revenue and growth
Cognition AI runs at $0B ARR, growing +400% YoY (hypergrowth). Scale AI runs at $1B ARR, growing +70% YoY (fast). Revenue growth rate matters for equity because it drives the peer-multiple valuation — the method most correlated with exit multiples.
Liquidity timeline
Cognition AI: IPO plausible 2027–2029 if growth trajectory holds. Secondary indication near primary round valuation. Liquidity may come via tender offer or strategic acquisition before listing.
Scale AI: IPO uncertain. Meta's 49% stake limits independence; Founder Alexandr Wang moved to Meta as Chief AI Officer. Liquidity most likely via further Meta acquisition or tender offer.
Calculate your specific grant
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