PrivatePulse·Companies·OpenAI vs Fanatics

OpenAI vs Fanatics: employee equity compared

Secondary market prices, valuation trajectory, equity structure, and liquidity outlook for employees choosing between OpenAI and Fanatics.

Secondary market data updated monthly · Sources: Hiive, Forge

OpenAI

AI · San Francisco, CA · Founded 2015

Maker of ChatGPT, GPT-5, Sora and the OpenAI API.

Last primary round$852B · Series H (2026-03)
Secondary market$853B (+0% vs primary)
Annual revenue$24B ARR · +60% YoY (fast)
Headcount~5,500
Equity typePPU
Illiquidity discount~10%
Last round leadAmazon / Nvidia / SoftBank
Liquidity outlook

IPO highly anticipated, likely 2026–2027 given massive scale. One of the most closely watched pre-IPO names in tech.

Key equity angle

High-growth AI play; PPU (no exercise decision needed); fast-moving valuations reward timing

↑ Higher secondary premium

Fanatics

Consumer · United States · Founded 1995

Vertically integrated sports platform encompassing licensed merchandise, trading cards (Topps acquisition), and sports betting (Fanatics Sportsbook).

Last primary round$31B · Series I (2022-12)
Secondary market$31.9B (+3% vs primary)
Annual revenue$7.3B ARR · +15% YoY
Headcount~10,000
Equity typeRSU
Illiquidity discount~22%
Last round leadSoftbank / BlackRock
Liquidity outlook

IPO possible 2026–2028 as scale builds. No confirmed timeline; tender offers may provide interim liquidity.

Key equity angle

Consumer brand with network effects; RSU (no exercise cost); IPO when unit economics proven

Key differences for employees

Equity structure

OpenAI grants PPU — a profit participation unit unique to OpenAI. No strike price, no AMT risk. You receive cash or shares at distribution events. Fanatics grants RSU — no exercise cost.

Secondary market premium

The secondary market is pricing OpenAI at a +0% premium over its last primary round ($852B$853B). Fanatics trades at +3% over its last round ($31B$31.9B). A higher secondary premium signals stronger investor demand and potentially better near-term liquidity for employees looking to sell.

Revenue and growth

OpenAI runs at $24B ARR, growing +60% YoY (fast). Fanatics runs at $7.3B ARR, growing +15% YoY. Revenue growth rate matters for equity because it drives the peer-multiple valuation — the method most correlated with exit multiples.

Liquidity timeline

OpenAI: IPO highly anticipated, likely 2026–2027 given massive scale. One of the most closely watched pre-IPO names in tech.

Fanatics: IPO possible 2026–2028 as scale builds. No confirmed timeline; tender offers may provide interim liquidity.

Calculate your specific grant

Enter your actual shares, equity type, and strike price. PrivatePulse calculates your personal equity value at both companies using 4 independent methods.

Frequently asked questions

Is OpenAI or Fanatics a better company to work at for equity?
There's no universal answer — it depends on your risk profile, time horizon, and specific grant terms. OpenAI at $852B and Fanatics at $31B offer very different risk/reward profiles. Use the calculator above to model your exact grant at each company.
How do I know if my OpenAI or Fanatics equity is fairly priced?
Compare your grant's implied per-share value against the secondary market price. If investors are paying a premium on Hiive or Forge over the last primary round, that's a signal of strong demand. PrivatePulse shows you the gap between your 409A and what the secondary market says.
Can I sell my OpenAI or Fanatics shares on the secondary market?
Secondary market transactions (Hiive, Forge, Caplight) require accredited investor status and your company's consent — most private companies have right-of-first-refusal (ROFR) provisions. Tender offers, when available, are typically the most accessible path to partial liquidity for employees.

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