xAI vs Anduril Industries: employee equity compared
Secondary market prices, valuation trajectory, equity structure, and liquidity outlook for employees choosing between xAI and Anduril Industries.
xAI
Elon Musk's AI lab, maker of Grok.
IPO highly anticipated, likely 2026–2027 given massive scale. One of the most closely watched pre-IPO names in tech.
High-growth AI play; ISO/NSO options; fast-moving valuations reward timing
Anduril Industries
Defense technology — autonomous systems (Roadrunner, Ghost, Bolt), command software (Lattice), and counter-drone.
IPO possible 2026–2028 as scale builds. No confirmed timeline; tender offers may provide interim liquidity.
Government-contract stability; ISO/NSO options; longer liquidity timeline vs consumer tech
Key differences for employees
Equity structure
xAI grants ISO/NSO with strike prices ranging from $180–$230 depending on your grant year. Anduril Industries grants ISO/NSO with strike prices from $110–$145.
Secondary market premium
The secondary market is pricing xAI at a +0% premium over its last primary round ($250B → $250B). Anduril Industries trades at +0% over its last round ($61B → $61B). A higher secondary premium signals stronger investor demand and potentially better near-term liquidity for employees looking to sell.
Revenue and growth
xAI runs at $0.5B ARR, growing +300% YoY (hypergrowth). Anduril Industries runs at $2.2B ARR, growing +100% YoY (very fast). Revenue growth rate matters for equity because it drives the peer-multiple valuation — the method most correlated with exit multiples.
Liquidity timeline
xAI: IPO highly anticipated, likely 2026–2027 given massive scale. One of the most closely watched pre-IPO names in tech.
Anduril Industries: IPO possible 2026–2028 as scale builds. No confirmed timeline; tender offers may provide interim liquidity.
Calculate your specific grant
Enter your actual shares, equity type, and strike price. PrivatePulse calculates your personal equity value at both companies using 4 independent methods.